Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.066836 0.077695 0.089587 0.103553 0.119479 0.137050 0.157880
2025-01-26 0.052577 0.067472 0.085260 0.107967 0.136072 0.169599 0.212492
2025-02-02 0.042782 0.059913 0.081983 0.112261 0.152438 0.203606 0.273333
2025-02-09 0.033024 0.050150 0.073810 0.108463 0.157406 0.223453 0.318572
2025-02-16 0.026724 0.043678 0.068620 0.107339 0.165109 0.247096 0.370932
2025-02-23 0.021540 0.037724 0.062970 0.104327 0.169206 0.265577 0.417494
2025-03-02 0.017714 0.033097 0.058438 0.102053 0.173676 0.284539 0.466129
2025-03-09 0.015300 0.030326 0.056335 0.103138 0.183194 0.311708 0.529426
2025-03-16 0.012694 0.026695 0.052152 0.100017 0.185220 0.326927 0.574931
2025-03-23 0.011636 0.025748 0.052509 0.104739 0.200891 0.365617 0.661819
2025-03-30 0.010243 0.023870 0.050836 0.105471 0.209481 0.392981 0.731871
2025-04-06 0.008697 0.021374 0.047573 0.102708 0.211267 0.408505 0.782575
2025-04-13 0.007481 0.019394 0.045103 0.101274 0.215603 0.429375 0.845418
2025-04-20 0.007024 0.019061 0.046014 0.106807 0.234048 0.477750 0.962373
2025-04-27 0.006553 0.018605 0.046589 0.111699 0.251721 0.526213 1.083505
2025-05-04 0.005562 0.016648 0.043493 0.108234 0.251857 0.540970 1.141940
2025-05-11 0.004873 0.015324 0.041647 0.107270 0.257080 0.566059 1.222277
2025-05-18 0.004174 0.013818 0.039109 0.104338 0.257650 0.581717 1.285053
2025-05-25 0.003611 0.012568 0.036998 0.102104 0.259457 0.599958 1.354329
2025-06-01 0.003271 0.011905 0.036295 0.103209 0.268962 0.635094 1.460985
2025-06-08 0.002806 0.010742 0.034051 0.100095 0.268201 0.648024 1.521854
2025-06-15 0.002679 0.010655 0.034784 0.104826 0.286765 0.704820 1.680773
2025-06-22 0.002429 0.010091 0.034059 0.105562 0.295578 0.740497 1.796255